Nufflenomics: Should I rush before I throw now?
Not many people pass the ball (at least in Season 2 – let’s see if that changes in Season 3) but for those of us that do, we often wonder whether it is better to rush before making a pass to make the pass easier. This is a simple problem, so there’s not much to talk about. The first thing to do is to determine the difficulty of the pass before rushing and then work out how many rushes you need to do to reduce the difficulty. Remember it might be that it might still be a 6+ even after rushing. The only benefit there might be avoiding wildly inaccurate/a fumble (delete as applicable depending on the ruleset for the edition which you are playing). The below table shows how it changes after rushes assuming that the difficulty drops when you rush x number of squares. One thing to note is that this assumes that rushes are successful on a 2+, other rushing success rates are available. What this shows is that (as should have been obvious) rushing when the pass is already a 2+ is ...